Carlos Alcaraz is in firm control of the battle for ATP Year-End No. 1 presented by PIF honours. Can Jannik Sinner make a huge late-season comeback to snatch the accolade from his great rival?
If Sinner dreams of doing so, he must begin with a deep run this week at the Erste Bank Open in Vienna.
The Italian is competing at the Austrian ATP 500 event and can therefore add 500 points to his PIF ATP Live Race To Turin total this week. Should he triumph, he would gain 500 points on Alcaraz, who is not in action.
| Player | Live Points | Max Points This Week |
| 1) Carlos Alcaraz | 11,040 | 11,040 |
| 2) Jannik Sinner | 8,500 | 9,000 |
This is important because of the lack of margin for error Sinner has. The 24-year-old currently trails Alcaraz by 2,540 points in the Live Race, which serves as a barometer for the year-end No. 1 battle.
After this week, both stars are scheduled to play the Rolex Paris Masters (max 1,000 points) and the Nitto ATP Finals (max 1,500 points). That means Sinner needs to earn every point he can the rest of the season and hope Alcaraz — who is 67-7 in 2025 according to the Infosys ATP Win/Loss Index — does not maintain his performance.
If Sinner lifts the Vienna trophy for the second time, he will trail the Spaniard by 2,040 points in the Live Race entering Paris, where he could narrow the deficit even more. Alcaraz would still have a very healthy advantage, but a small amount of pressure would begin to mount.
If Sinner fails to win a match in Vienna, he would trail by 2,540 points entering the season's final ATP Masters 1000 event. At that point, even with victories in Paris and Turin, Sinner would have just 11,000 points to Alcaraz's current 11,040. The Italian is not entered in Athens or Metz the week between Paris and Turin.
Both men are pursuing their second ATP Year-End No. 1 presented by PIF finish, with Alcaraz achieving the feat in 2022 and Sinner doing so last year.
